Draw bias

Wins by barrier group against what a random draw would give. An index of 1.00 is fair; 1.30 means that group wins 30% more often than its share of runners. Every race since June 2023 with at least four finishers; only course-and-distance combinations with 40+ races are shown. Rail position matters on turf — expand a row for the split, or open a distance for the full page.

Sha Tin

draw 1-4
1.47
win 12.8%
draw 5-8
0.85
win 7.4%
draw 9+
0.64
win 5.4%
draw 1-4
1.18
win 9.6%
draw 5-8
0.97
win 7.8%
draw 9+
0.87
win 6.6%
1000m Turf →126 races ▾
draw 1-4
0.95
win 8.1%
draw 5-8
1.08
win 9.1%
draw 9+
0.95
win 7.2%
Rail C35 races
draw 1-4
1.34
win 11.9%
draw 5-8
0.90
win 7.6%
draw 9+
0.76
win 5.7%
Rail C+330 races
draw 1-4
0.82
win 6.7%
draw 5-8
1.28
win 10.3%
draw 9+
0.83
win 6.2%
1200m Turf →463 races ▾
draw 1-4
1.25
win 10.4%
draw 5-8
0.92
win 7.6%
draw 9+
0.83
win 6.5%
Rail A115 races
draw 1-4
1.14
win 9.2%
draw 5-8
1.04
win 8.2%
draw 9+
0.82
win 6.1%
Rail A+355 races
draw 1-4
1.13
win 9.1%
draw 5-8
1.11
win 8.8%
draw 9+
0.79
win 5.8%
Rail B49 races
draw 1-4
1.64
win 12.8%
draw 5-8
0.72
win 5.6%
draw 9+
0.70
win 5.2%
Rail B+257 races
draw 1-4
1.28
win 10.6%
draw 5-8
0.67
win 5.4%
draw 9+
1.03
win 7.7%
Rail C82 races
draw 1-4
1.27
win 11.1%
draw 5-8
0.91
win 8.0%
draw 9+
0.80
win 6.8%
Rail C+3105 races
draw 1-4
1.24
win 10.9%
draw 5-8
0.92
win 8.0%
draw 9+
0.83
win 7.1%
1400m Turf →451 races ▾
draw 1-4
1.24
win 9.6%
draw 5-8
0.99
win 7.6%
draw 9+
0.81
win 6.0%
Rail A116 races
draw 1-4
1.06
win 8.5%
draw 5-8
1.13
win 9.0%
draw 9+
0.84
win 6.2%
Rail A+348 races
draw 1-4
1.01
win 7.9%
draw 5-8
1.18
win 9.1%
draw 9+
0.85
win 6.3%
Rail B51 races
draw 1-4
1.78
win 13.8%
draw 5-8
0.86
win 6.6%
draw 9+
0.50
win 3.7%
Rail B+250 races
draw 1-4
1.29
win 10.1%
draw 5-8
0.81
win 6.2%
draw 9+
0.92
win 6.7%
Rail C86 races
draw 1-4
1.17
win 9.0%
draw 5-8
0.97
win 7.4%
draw 9+
0.89
win 6.6%
Rail C+3100 races
draw 1-4
1.33
win 10.0%
draw 5-8
0.92
win 6.9%
draw 9+
0.82
win 6.0%
1600m Turf →199 races ▾
draw 1-4
1.25
win 10.1%
draw 5-8
0.81
win 6.4%
draw 9+
0.94
win 6.9%
Rail A48 races
draw 1-4
0.80
win 6.3%
draw 5-8
1.16
win 9.0%
draw 9+
1.03
win 7.7%
Rail A+323 races
draw 1-4
1.42
win 13.2%
draw 5-8
0.63
win 5.7%
draw 9+
0.90
win 6.9%
Rail B+226 races
draw 1-4
1.02
win 8.7%
draw 5-8
0.87
win 7.1%
draw 9+
1.09
win 8.1%
Rail C43 races
draw 1-4
1.78
win 13.5%
draw 5-8
0.62
win 4.7%
draw 9+
0.70
win 5.1%
Rail C+342 races
draw 1-4
1.52
win 11.4%
draw 5-8
0.56
win 4.2%
draw 9+
0.95
win 6.9%
1800m Turf →78 races ▾
draw 1-4
1.17
win 9.4%
draw 5-8
1.03
win 8.1%
draw 9+
0.83
win 6.3%
Rail C+329 races
draw 1-4
1.23
win 9.5%
draw 5-8
1.12
win 8.7%
draw 9+
0.72
win 5.4%
2000m Turf →65 races ▾
draw 1-4
1.29
win 11.2%
draw 5-8
0.82
win 7.0%
draw 9+
0.88
win 6.9%
Rail A22 races
draw 1-4
1.36
win 11.5%
draw 5-8
0.56
win 4.7%
draw 9+
1.07
win 8.2%

Happy Valley

1000m Turf →130 races ▾
draw 1-4
1.27
win 11.6%
draw 5-8
0.99
win 9.0%
draw 9+
0.66
win 5.6%
Rail A38 races
draw 1-4
1.25
win 11.2%
draw 5-8
0.99
win 8.7%
draw 9+
0.71
win 6.0%
Rail B43 races
draw 1-4
1.15
win 10.6%
draw 5-8
1.10
win 10.1%
draw 9+
0.67
win 5.9%
Rail C24 races
draw 1-4
1.57
win 13.7%
draw 5-8
0.83
win 7.3%
draw 9+
0.55
win 4.7%
Rail C+325 races
draw 1-4
1.24
win 12.0%
draw 5-8
0.96
win 9.2%
draw 9+
0.67
win 5.7%
1200m Turf →482 races ▾
draw 1-4
1.33
win 11.6%
draw 5-8
1.04
win 9.0%
draw 9+
0.60
win 5.1%
Rail A135 races
draw 1-4
1.44
win 12.6%
draw 5-8
0.87
win 7.6%
draw 9+
0.66
win 5.7%
Rail B136 races
draw 1-4
1.27
win 10.9%
draw 5-8
1.15
win 10.0%
draw 9+
0.54
win 4.6%
Rail C121 races
draw 1-4
1.28
win 11.3%
draw 5-8
1.14
win 9.9%
draw 9+
0.53
win 4.6%
Rail C+390 races
draw 1-4
1.31
win 11.4%
draw 5-8
0.97
win 8.4%
draw 9+
0.66
win 5.6%
1650m Turf →330 races ▾
draw 1-4
1.17
win 10.3%
draw 5-8
1.05
win 9.2%
draw 9+
0.72
win 6.2%
Rail A105 races
draw 1-4
1.10
win 9.6%
draw 5-8
1.13
win 9.9%
draw 9+
0.71
win 6.1%
Rail B92 races
draw 1-4
1.42
win 12.6%
draw 5-8
0.97
win 8.6%
draw 9+
0.55
win 4.7%
Rail C74 races
draw 1-4
1.12
win 9.9%
draw 5-8
1.07
win 9.4%
draw 9+
0.75
win 6.4%
Rail C+359 races
draw 1-4
0.98
win 8.5%
draw 5-8
1.03
win 9.0%
draw 9+
1.00
win 8.5%
1800m Turf →92 races ▾
draw 1-4
1.09
win 9.6%
draw 5-8
0.97
win 8.5%
draw 9+
0.94
win 8.0%
Rail A23 races
draw 1-4
1.17
win 10.0%
draw 5-8
0.89
win 7.6%
draw 9+
0.94
win 8.0%
Rail B26 races
draw 1-4
0.86
win 7.7%
draw 5-8
1.02
win 8.9%
draw 9+
1.13
win 9.5%
Rail C24 races
draw 1-4
0.91
win 8.3%
draw 5-8
1.38
win 12.6%
draw 9+
0.61
win 5.3%