Draw bias

Wins by barrier group against what a random draw would give. An index of 1.00 is fair; 1.30 means that group wins 30% more often than its share of runners. Every race since June 2023 with at least four finishers; only course-and-distance combinations with 40+ races are shown. Rail position matters on turf — expand a row for the split, or open a distance for the full page.

Sha Tin

draw 1-4
1.39
win 12.1%
draw 5-8
0.90
win 7.8%
draw 9+
0.68
win 5.7%
draw 1-4
1.17
win 9.6%
draw 5-8
1.01
win 8.2%
draw 9+
0.83
win 6.3%
1000m Turf →133 races ▾
draw 1-4
0.94
win 8.1%
draw 5-8
1.10
win 9.1%
draw 9+
0.94
win 7.1%
Rail C36 races
draw 1-4
1.31
win 11.6%
draw 5-8
0.87
win 7.4%
draw 9+
0.81
win 6.1%
Rail C+332 races
draw 1-4
0.87
win 7.1%
draw 5-8
1.30
win 10.5%
draw 9+
0.77
win 5.7%
1200m Turf →484 races ▾
draw 1-4
1.28
win 10.7%
draw 5-8
0.90
win 7.4%
draw 9+
0.82
win 6.4%
Rail A123 races
draw 1-4
1.25
win 10.0%
draw 5-8
0.97
win 7.7%
draw 9+
0.79
win 5.9%
Rail A+355 races
draw 1-4
1.13
win 9.1%
draw 5-8
1.11
win 8.8%
draw 9+
0.79
win 5.8%
Rail B51 races
draw 1-4
1.71
win 13.2%
draw 5-8
0.70
win 5.4%
draw 9+
0.67
win 4.9%
Rail B+257 races
draw 1-4
1.28
win 10.6%
draw 5-8
0.67
win 5.4%
draw 9+
1.03
win 7.7%
Rail C86 races
draw 1-4
1.24
win 10.9%
draw 5-8
0.93
win 8.2%
draw 9+
0.80
win 6.8%
Rail C+3112 races
draw 1-4
1.24
win 10.9%
draw 5-8
0.89
win 7.7%
draw 9+
0.86
win 7.4%
1400m Turf →473 races ▾
draw 1-4
1.25
win 9.7%
draw 5-8
1.01
win 7.8%
draw 9+
0.80
win 5.9%
Rail A122 races
draw 1-4
1.06
win 8.5%
draw 5-8
1.16
win 9.2%
draw 9+
0.82
win 6.1%
Rail A+348 races
draw 1-4
1.01
win 7.9%
draw 5-8
1.18
win 9.1%
draw 9+
0.85
win 6.3%
Rail B54 races
draw 1-4
1.87
win 14.4%
draw 5-8
0.81
win 6.2%
draw 9+
0.47
win 3.4%
Rail B+250 races
draw 1-4
1.29
win 10.1%
draw 5-8
0.81
win 6.2%
draw 9+
0.92
win 6.7%
Rail C88 races
draw 1-4
1.15
win 8.8%
draw 5-8
1.02
win 7.8%
draw 9+
0.87
win 6.4%
Rail C+3111 races
draw 1-4
1.32
win 9.9%
draw 5-8
0.95
win 7.1%
draw 9+
0.80
win 5.9%
1600m Turf →207 races ▾
draw 1-4
1.28
win 10.3%
draw 5-8
0.80
win 6.3%
draw 9+
0.93
win 6.8%
Rail A51 races
draw 1-4
0.82
win 6.4%
draw 5-8
1.16
win 9.0%
draw 9+
1.02
win 7.6%
Rail A+323 races
draw 1-4
1.42
win 13.2%
draw 5-8
0.63
win 5.7%
draw 9+
0.90
win 6.9%
Rail B+226 races
draw 1-4
1.02
win 8.7%
draw 5-8
0.87
win 7.1%
draw 9+
1.09
win 8.1%
Rail C44 races
draw 1-4
1.82
win 13.7%
draw 5-8
0.60
win 4.5%
draw 9+
0.68
win 5.0%
Rail C+346 races
draw 1-4
1.60
win 12.0%
draw 5-8
0.51
win 3.8%
draw 9+
0.92
win 6.7%
1800m Turf →84 races ▾
draw 1-4
1.24
win 9.9%
draw 5-8
1.03
win 8.2%
draw 9+
0.77
win 5.8%
Rail A20 races
draw 1-4
1.39
win 11.3%
draw 5-8
0.63
win 5.1%
draw 9+
0.98
win 7.4%
Rail C+333 races
draw 1-4
1.28
win 9.8%
draw 5-8
1.19
win 9.2%
draw 9+
0.63
win 4.7%
2000m Turf →66 races ▾
draw 1-4
1.31
win 11.4%
draw 5-8
0.80
win 6.9%
draw 9+
0.87
win 6.8%
Rail A23 races
draw 1-4
1.42
win 12.1%
draw 5-8
0.53
win 4.4%
draw 9+
1.04
win 8.0%

Happy Valley

1000m Turf →136 races ▾
draw 1-4
1.24
win 11.3%
draw 5-8
1.01
win 9.2%
draw 9+
0.68
win 5.8%
Rail A39 races
draw 1-4
1.22
win 10.9%
draw 5-8
0.97
win 8.5%
draw 9+
0.77
win 6.6%
Rail B45 races
draw 1-4
1.16
win 10.7%
draw 5-8
1.05
win 9.7%
draw 9+
0.73
win 6.3%
Rail C24 races
draw 1-4
1.57
win 13.7%
draw 5-8
0.83
win 7.3%
draw 9+
0.55
win 4.7%
Rail C+328 races
draw 1-4
1.13
win 10.7%
draw 5-8
1.16
win 10.9%
draw 9+
0.57
win 4.9%
1200m Turf →504 races ▾
draw 1-4
1.32
win 11.5%
draw 5-8
1.02
win 8.9%
draw 9+
0.62
win 5.3%
Rail A144 races
draw 1-4
1.41
win 12.3%
draw 5-8
0.85
win 7.5%
draw 9+
0.71
win 6.1%
Rail B140 races
draw 1-4
1.25
win 10.8%
draw 5-8
1.12
win 9.7%
draw 9+
0.59
win 5.0%
Rail C121 races
draw 1-4
1.28
win 11.3%
draw 5-8
1.14
win 9.9%
draw 9+
0.53
win 4.6%
Rail C+399 races
draw 1-4
1.35
win 11.6%
draw 5-8
0.97
win 8.4%
draw 9+
0.63
win 5.4%
1650m Turf →344 races ▾
draw 1-4
1.18
win 10.4%
draw 5-8
1.03
win 9.1%
draw 9+
0.73
win 6.3%
Rail A111 races
draw 1-4
1.12
win 9.8%
draw 5-8
1.10
win 9.6%
draw 9+
0.73
win 6.3%
Rail B95 races
draw 1-4
1.43
win 12.8%
draw 5-8
0.96
win 8.6%
draw 9+
0.53
win 4.5%
Rail C74 races
draw 1-4
1.12
win 9.9%
draw 5-8
1.07
win 9.4%
draw 9+
0.75
win 6.4%
Rail C+364 races
draw 1-4
0.99
win 8.7%
draw 5-8
0.99
win 8.7%
draw 9+
1.01
win 8.6%
1800m Turf →96 races ▾
draw 1-4
1.13
win 10.0%
draw 5-8
0.96
win 8.4%
draw 9+
0.90
win 7.6%
Rail A25 races
draw 1-4
1.30
win 11.2%
draw 5-8
0.81
win 7.0%
draw 9+
0.88
win 7.5%
Rail B26 races
draw 1-4
0.86
win 7.7%
draw 5-8
1.02
win 8.9%
draw 9+
1.13
win 9.5%
Rail C24 races
draw 1-4
0.91
win 8.3%
draw 5-8
1.38
win 12.6%
draw 9+
0.61
win 5.3%
Rail C+321 races
draw 1-4
1.54
win 13.4%
draw 5-8
0.55
win 4.8%
draw 9+
0.92
win 7.9%
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